Forecast Map Polls Scenarios Backtesting Swingometrics
Latest Forecast

on course for seats

Model v · · polls

Outcome Probabilities

326+ seats

Hung Parliament

No majority

Labour Largest

Most seats

Conservative Largest

Most seats

By-Election Signal

Polling Trends Last 30 days

Recent Polls

Pollster REF CON LAB LD

Model

Version 0.4.0

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Data

0 polls aggregated

Weighted by recency & sample size

Last Updated

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Updates 3× daily

Backtesting

Validated on 4 elections

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